Apr 29 2012, 04:05 PM
So the first round of votes just finished and here are the results (I put their political position in parentheses for those that do not know) :
François Hollande - Parti Socialiste - 28.63% (socialist left-wing party)
Nicolas Sarkozy - Union pour un Mouvement Populaire - 27.13% (capitalist banker right wing party)
Marine Le Pen - Front National - 17.90% (extremist right wing nationalist party)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon - Front de Gauche - 11.10% (extremist left wing communist party)
François Beyrou - Mouvement Démocrate - 9.13% (centrist party)
Eva Joly - Les Verts - 2.31% ( left wing ecological party)
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan - Debout La Republique - 1.79%
Philippe Poutou - Nouveau Parti Anticapitaliste - 1.15%
I voted for Beyrou and am saddened to see he did not make it to the 3rd or 4th place...
So now there's only Sarkozy and Hollande in the race, but we have to take into account all of the votes from the other parties.
Right wing voters (sarkozy): 27.13% + 17.90% + 1.79% = 46.82%
Left wing voters (hollande): 28.63% + 11.10% + 2.31% + 1.15% = 43.19%
I have no clue how the centrists (myself included) will vote but I predict a Sarkozy win... Of course there will be much heated debate between now and the 2nd roud of elections and predictions are rarely spot on. Hollande could receive 7% of the centrist votes and Sarkozy 2% and Hollande would win but it will be a very close call no matter what happens...
François Hollande - Parti Socialiste - 28.63% (socialist left-wing party)
Nicolas Sarkozy - Union pour un Mouvement Populaire - 27.13% (capitalist banker right wing party)
Marine Le Pen - Front National - 17.90% (extremist right wing nationalist party)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon - Front de Gauche - 11.10% (extremist left wing communist party)
François Beyrou - Mouvement Démocrate - 9.13% (centrist party)
Eva Joly - Les Verts - 2.31% ( left wing ecological party)
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan - Debout La Republique - 1.79%
Philippe Poutou - Nouveau Parti Anticapitaliste - 1.15%
I voted for Beyrou and am saddened to see he did not make it to the 3rd or 4th place...
So now there's only Sarkozy and Hollande in the race, but we have to take into account all of the votes from the other parties.
Right wing voters (sarkozy): 27.13% + 17.90% + 1.79% = 46.82%
Left wing voters (hollande): 28.63% + 11.10% + 2.31% + 1.15% = 43.19%
I have no clue how the centrists (myself included) will vote but I predict a Sarkozy win... Of course there will be much heated debate between now and the 2nd roud of elections and predictions are rarely spot on. Hollande could receive 7% of the centrist votes and Sarkozy 2% and Hollande would win but it will be a very close call no matter what happens...